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Primary Watching Parties Tomorrow |
by Jason Rosenbaum :: Filed Under Elections 2008 :: April 21st, 2008 @ 3:38 pm EST
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For all those in DC:
Come watch the Pennsylvania primary tomorrow night. Even though the results isn’t in doubt, you can still come and have a drink with your friends!
We’ll be hopping to two parties tomorrow:
The 17th Street Cafe (upstairs)
1517 17th St. NW
Washington, DCÂ
Starting at 7:30
Townhouse Tavern
17th St. and R Ave. NW
Washington, DC
Starting at 8:30Â
All venues are in the Dupont Circle area. Come by and say hi!
What do you mean the result isn’t in doubt? Don’t buy into the traditional media’s inane focus on “winning” states. The result isn’t who gets the most votes. The result is what the percentages are, and the delegate allocation that results from that. And those are definitely not known. Hell, even from the non-delegate-based viewpoint that Clinton supporters are trying to construct it’s important that Clinton win Pennsylvania big, and that’s not known either.
Well, sure, I’m with you there, but most of America isn’t. By “the result” I guess I’m talking about “the media spin,” which will be Clinton won. If we’re talking about ending this primary, it won’t happen until after an Obama victory. All eyes are on NC, it seems.
Okay, but the media spin will be substantially worse if Clinton wins by 20 points than if she wins by 5. If she wins big then we won’t be able to stop her with NC, at least if the media “surge” narrative helps her win IN. In any case, it seems that IN will be more important than NC.
Well, maybe. It depends how Obama plays it. If he sets expectations up for a win, then we have a repeat of TX and OH, where you had Obama beating my (and other rational people’s) expectations, but the media played it as a defeat.
Certainly, if she wins big it’s a big problem, but without the right setup, even a small win could be a big thing for her, media-wise.