ABOUT AUTHOR ::  A Siegel  

A Siegel blogs in the domains of energy and environmental implications in a number of communities. His work can be found at Energy Smart. He is a founding board member of The Energy Consensus (a non-profit focused on enhancing the policy dialogue related to energy issues) and Energize America (focused on developing energy concepts for potential legislative action using the blogosphere as a developmental platform).

A Siegel

Will-ful Deceit: three blunt examples

by A Siegel  ::  Filed Under Global Warming, Media Issues  ::  February 23rd, 2009 @ 5:05 am EST

As discussed in WashPost: Complicit in Disformation (or explicit collaboration)?, last Sunday’s George Will column was a disgraceful example of distorted discussion of climate change issues. This deceitful piece and the Washington Post’s seeming backing of it has created an uproar through the blogosphere that is seriously questioning what this sort of shoddy editorial management of opinion pages means for any Washington Post claim to journalistic integrity.

Now, this issue goes beyond this George F Will column to his serial stretching of fact to beyond the breaking point beyond truthiness. This issue goes beyond Will’s repeated will-ful deceit to the repeated Post publication of deception, often dishonest opinion pieces related to global warming and climate challenges. This is more than about Will’s deceit in Dark Green Doomsayers. Even so, it is worth returning to this specific deceitful piece to provide a simple summary of how it is deceitful with some quick references.

Here are just three of the explicit arenas of his deceit:

1. Claims that scientists (especially climatologists) were united in concerns over Global Cooling in 1970s. FALSE.
2. States that sea ice is same today as 1979. At best, misleading and disingenuous. And, his source disagrees with him.
3. States that there has been no global warming for a decade. At absolute best, misleading and disingenuous. And, his source disagrees with him.

“Global Cooling”.

Will writes:

In the 1970s, “a major cooling of the planet” was “widely considered inevitable” because it was “well established” that the Northern Hemisphere’s climate “has been getting cooler since about 1950″

And, he has reference after reference seemingly nailing the coffin shut to prove this point. Only problem: it is not true that there was some form of scientific consensus around Global Cooling. Science works from hypothesis to testing of hypothesis to, if it stands up to testing, that hypothesis becoming a theory. Unlike Global Warming / Climate Change, which is a Theory, Global Cooling was never more than “hypothesis” and a “widely” disputed one at that. Last fall, the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society published the peer-reviewed review of this issue with the revealing title of The Myth of the 1970s Global Cooling Scientific Consensus. It begins

There was no scientific consensus in the 1970s that the Earth was headed into an imminent ice age. Indeed, the possibility of anthropogenic warming dominated the peer-reviewed literature even then.

But, the true extent of Will’s deceit goes further than this. One of the authors of this study, John Fleck, wrote both blog posts and an opinion piece following Will’s article. In Cherry-Picked Facts Heat Up Climate Debate (which should be a must read for the Post’s hand-picked fact checking team), Fleck points out that Will selectively quotes from articles, misrepresenting the actual conclusions. As to Will-ful deceit, Flect notes

When George Will last wrote about this subject, in May 2008, I sent him a copy of the 1975 Science News article, hoping he might get a fuller picture of what was going on at the time. I got a nice note back from him thanking me for sharing it. It doesn’t seem as if he read it, which would have been nicer.

After a fact and truth filled piece, Fleck concludes:

George Will is entitled to his own opinions. He is not entitled to his own facts.

Correlation of Will comments with the truth? Zero.

Global Ice Coverage

Will stated:

As global levels of sea ice declined last year, many experts said this was evidence of man-made global warming. Since September, however, the increase in sea ice has been the fastest change, either up or down, since 1979, when satellite record-keeping began. According to the University of Illinois’ Arctic Climate Research Center, global sea ice levels now equal those of 1979.

To start with, the concerns from experts were over the dramatic fall in both the extent of Arctic ice and the thinner nature of existing ice coverage, not so much the global ice coverage. Thus, that is a misrepresentation. RE the Arctic ice,

Well,the Arctic Climate Research Center has these two paragraphs on their front page:

Observed Climate Change

Recent observed surface air temperature changes over the Arctic region are the largest in the world. Winter (DJF) rates of warming exceed 4 degrees C. over portions of the Arctic land areas. …

Sea ice extent averaged over the Northern Hemisphere has decreased correspondingly over the past 50 years (shown right). The largest change has been observed in the summer months with decreases exceeding 30%. Decreases observed in winter are more modest

To reinforce this point, lets go back to the WMO:

Because ice was thinner in 2008, overall ice volume was less than that in any other year. … Ice 70 metres thick, which a century ago covered 9 000 km2, has been chiselled down to just 1 000 km2 today, underscoring the rapidity of changes taking place in the Arctic. The season strongly reinforces the 30-year downward trend in Artic sea ice extent.

It is not just about total coverage, but also total amount of ice. George might want to confuse with a recent spurt in ice extent coverage without addressing the greatly reduced total ice coverage.

But, let us turn to the global ice coverage. The ACRC actually chose to post a direct rebuttal to George’s claims, calling them false.

“We do not know where George Will is getting his information, but our data shows that on February 15, 1979, global sea ice area was 16.79 million sq. km and on February 15, 2009, global sea ice area was 15.45 million sq. km.
Therefore, global sea ice levels are 1.34 million sq. km less in February 2009 than in February 1979. This decrease in sea ice area is roughly equal to the area of Texas, California, and Oklahoma combined.”

In fact, George relied, almost certainly, on another deceiver whose deception was unraveled by greenfyre. This compared (incorrectly, it seems) Dec 1979 with Dec 2008 ice and this misleading piece has shot throughout the global warming denier / skeptic communities. Even if this were correct, this is a two-month old piece of material. As per Brad Johnson,

Will’s claim about global sea ice extent would have been reasonably accurate — though irrelevant to the question of “evidence of man-made global warming” — if it had been published over a month ago. But by the time Will’s column was published, global sea ice extent had dropped well below its equivalent 1979 levels. I assume [the Post's editors] would have corrected Will if his column claimed George W. Bush was still president.

Correlation of Will comments with being truthful? Nada.

Recent Global Warming

Will ends his travesty with the following:

Real calamities take our minds off hypothetical ones. Besides, according to the U.N. World Meteorological Organization, there has been no recorded global warming for more than a decade, or one-third of the span since the global cooling scare.

Let’s take a look, for a moment, at the UK’s Met Office which stated in Global warming goes on

Average global temperatures are now some 0.75 °C warmer than they were 100 years ago. Since the mid-1970s, the increase in temperature has averaged more than 0.15 °C per decade. This rate of change is very unusual in the context of past changes and much more rapid than the warming at the end of the last ice age. Sea-surface temperatures have warmed slightly less than the global average whilst temperatures over land have warmed at a faster rate of almost 0.3 °C per decade.

Over the last ten years, global temperatures have warmed more slowly than the long-term trend. But this does not mean that global warming has slowed down or even stopped. It is entirely consistent with our understanding of natural fluctuations of the climate within a trend of continued long-term warming.

These natural fluctuations include the El Niño Southern Oscillations (ENSO) in the Pacific Ocean. In El Niño years - those when cold surface water is not apparent in the tropical eastern Pacific - global temperature is considerably warmer than normal. A particularly strong El Niño occurred in 1998 resulting in the warmest year on record across the globe. In La Niña years - when cold water rises to the surface of the Pacific Ocean - temperatures can be considerably colder than normal. Volcanic eruptions can also cause temporary drops in global temperatures because of huge amounts of dust thrown high into the atmosphere that reduce the amount of sunlight that reaches the surface. A La Nina was present throughout 2007 and much of 2008; despite this temporary cooling, 2008 is currently the tenth warmest in the global record.

Earlier in 2008, they questioned Is Global Warming Over?

The recent fall in global temperatures has led to increasing speculation that global warming is a thing of the past.

Despite this fall, a look at global average temperatures reveals a different picture. It shows large variability in our climate year-on-year – warmer some years, cooler in others - but what is very clear is an underlying rise over the longer term, almost certainly caused by man-made emissions of greenhouse gases.

Another way of looking at the warming trend is that 1999 was a similar year to 2007 as far as the cooling effects of La Niña are concerned. The global temperature in 1999 was 0.26 °C above the 1961-90 average, whereas 2007 was 0.37 °C above this average - 0.11 °C warmer than 1999.

As to the World Meteological Organization (WMO), they reported that 2008 AMONG THE TEN WARMEST YEARS; MARKED BY WEATHER EXTREMES AND SECOND-LOWEST LEVEL OF ARCTIC ICE COVER:

The year 2008 is likely to rank as the 10th warmest year on record since the beginning of the instrumental climate records in 1850, according to data sources compiled by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). The global combined sea-surface and land-surface air temperature for 2008 is currently estimated at 0.31°C/0.56°F above the 1961-1990 annual average of 14.00°C/57.2°F. The global average temperature in 2008 was slightly lower than that for the previous years of the 21st century due in particular, to the moderate to strong La Niña that developed in the latter half of 2007.

The Arctic Sea ice extent dropped to its second-lowest level during the melt season since satellite measurements began in 1979. Climate extremes, including devastating floods, severe and persistent droughts, snow storms, heatwaves and cold waves, were recorded in many parts of the world.

George F Will seems to be claiming that the WMO has stated that global warming is over. The WMO would seem to disagree.

Correlation of Will comments with honest dicussion? None to be found.

That isn’t all …

These are, in truth, just three of the Will-ful distortions and deceitful elements of Will’s OPED. But, take a look at these three. In all three cases, basic fact checking show that Will’s sources and the experts on the issues fundamentally disagree with him. And yet … and yet … the Washington Post stands behind its publication of his deceit and distribution of Will through the Washington Post Writers’ Group to over 450 newspapers One has to wonder how many of the editors, at those “over 450 newspapers”, realize how little seriousness the Post’s gives to its journalistic obligations?

NOTES:

1. Highly recommended: Brad Johnson, The Wonkroom, A Suggested Correction For Will’s ‘Dark Green Doomsayers’ Column. A playful, yet quite substantive, attempt to draft a Washington Post mea culpa for allowing Will’s deception into print. Links to substantive (definitive) refutation of key Will points. This follows up on Brad’s correspondance with the Post’s omsbudmen, who relayed “that the Post has a multi-layer editing process and checks facts to the fullest extent possible”. Well, minus all those errors that the blogosphere was able to dredge up in minutes.

2. Blogosphere-wide outrage? The outrage is being widely expressed across the blogosphere, with some quite high quality discussions. In WashPost Embraces Will-Ful Deceit, I am attempting to provide a reasonable catalogue of the various responses to Will / the Washington Post. This also has links to discussions of other truthiness pieces published within the Washington Post in its ‘fair and balanced’ approach to Global Warming issues.

3. ACTION: Consider raising your voice on this issue. There is always The Washington Post’s Ombudsman: ombudsman@washpost.com . Perhaps more importantly, if George Will’s deceptive and deceitful prose appears in your local newspaper, consider a letter to the editor questioning the editorial standards by which Will’s dishonesty is allowed to be published. This diary, Brad’s work, and the pieces linked to in WashPost Embraces Will-Ful Deceit provide far more than enough material for such engagement.

The Seminal News Feed

FACTBOX-Countries slap bans on pork after flu outbreak
Monday, 4 May 2009, 7:35 pm

Albanian immigrants get life in plot to hit US base
Tuesday, 28 April 2009, 9:26 pm

Six tonne drug blaze a small step in Afghan battles
Sunday, 26 April 2009, 11:50 am

A Siegel

The Jobs are “Blowin’ in the Wind”

by A Siegel  ::  Filed Under Energy Policy, The Environment  ::  January 29th, 2009 @ 7:23 pm EST

Jerome a Paris’ Wind power set to decline under Obama? highlighted how the on-again, off-again federal renewable energy policies have created a boom-and-bust cycle, with 2009 looking to be perhaps a minor bust after 2008’s record-setting boom period. And, that this might occur despite the Administration and Congressional focus on renewable energy. And, despite our desperate need to get off polluting energy sources via energy efficiency and clean energy production as quickly as possible.

Yesterday, however, also say another important item: the wind industry now employes more American’s than the coal industry! Wind: 85,000 workers. Coal mining/extraction: 81,000 workers.

And, looking to the future, wind produces more jobs per kWh than coal while producing far (FAR) less environmental havoc.

A Siegel

A few decades of prevention vs 1000 years of Hell …

by A Siegel  ::  Filed Under Global Warming  ::  January 29th, 2009 @ 10:19 am EST

Whether it is avoiding fatty foods, saving money for the future, or taking cod liver oil regularly, somewhat unpleasant actions today to prevent disaster tomorrow are a struggle against our very nature. This struggle extends from individuals to society, as present consumption and today’s concerns too often triumph over a ‘discounted’ future.

With climate change, this problem is taken to nearly the penultimate extreme. Either we (individually, collectively as a nation, collectively as a global society, collectively intergenerationally) get our act together or we’re discounting future into catastrophe.

Now that we have an Administration where scientists will be able to speak about science without fossil fuel lobbyists or 20-something ideologues taking red ink to their science, the US government will be speaking more forcefully about Global Warming. Overshadowed by the President’s statement on energy and Global Warming, we have news of a new NOAA report that paints a very ugly and dry picture for a 1000 years out if we don’t get serious about our societal spoons of cod liver oil.

A Siegel

E2 Solution for Energizing America to a Better Tomorrow

by A Siegel  ::  Filed Under Energy Policy, Global Warming, The Economy, The Environment  ::  December 31st, 2008 @ 3:09 am EST

As any who come to these pages are already aware, my passion is clear … helping my/your family, my/your community, my/your nation, my/our world find a path toward a prosperous and sustainable energy future. A path that will help us (US) navigate the dangerous seas of the Perfect Storm combination of Peak Oil (and other peak natural resources), Global Warming, and the Financial Meltdown around the globe.

At their core, all three of these challenges are resource challenges. And, solution paths exist to each of these challenges, even if finding our way to that solution could be extremely challenging. An even greater complexity is the simultaneity of these challenges. We must confront, tackle, solve each of these in a coordinated, reinforcing manner as the perfect solution for one challenge might be a lesser response, or even disaster, in another arena. What is the classic example of this? Investing in coal-to-liquids and tar sands could help ameliorate Peak Oil’s impact while providing the straw that breaks the camel’s back on our reckless rush into catastrophic climate change.

We must chart a course and find steady heads to navigate the treacherous seas of these converging of three major storms into the 21st Century’s Perfect Storm. We will either, in the next few years, chart and begin navigating such a course … or we can rest assured that human civilization will become shipwrecked in the coming decades, leaving behind something unfamiliar and undesirable to those currently enjoying the fruits of ‘developed’ global society.

The bright spot in this gloom: it is possible to chart a course.

And, even in the face of the immediacy of a global fiscal crisis and calls for fiscal discipline against any new spending and concerns that economic woes are chilling global warming action, even before the election, ever more voices were calling for a “green” route to a prosperous and climate-friendly global society. Back in October, Politico ran Can green jobs save us? which looked at how both Barack Obama and John McCain are speaking about “Green Jobs” as a core part of the path forward. (Even though John McCain’s rhetoric is, well, mainly hot air.) And, other voices called for ever greater boldness in the face of these crises.

this is a time to think big. We have to grow our way out of the economic depths. We have to use the money we’ll spend wisely enough to create external benefits for the next 50 to 60 years, to wire America like we electrified America in the 1930s, to fix the roads and bridges the way we built them then, to create a new, clean energy grid to replace the old one that served us well. We can not only face the biggest challenges in the world and create a sustainable economy at the same time, but they can complement each other. And we can say “hell no” to those Wise Men of Washington and the conservatives they enable, whose ideas on budgets and fiscal responsibility and supply-side economics have been totally discredited. We need only to have courage in crisis, and a willingness to lead the way.

At Grist, David Roberts articulated how the economic crisis should prompt more green infrastructure spending, not less

Before conventional wisdom hardens in the other direction, greens need to get out and start arguing that the current financial mess is not a reason to trim back our green ambitions, but to accelerate them with liberal spending on a smart grid, public transit, and other job-creating, emission-reducing, capital-intensive projects. Save the economy, save the planet.

And, Eric Pooley called this a Trojan horse approach

Say hello to Obama’s Trojan horse—a climate policy hidden inside an energy-and-economic policy. Obama takes Gore’s energy trifecta, lops off the climate message, and stores it in the belly of the beast while energy independence and economic renewal drive the contraption forward.

But it does not have to be a “Trojan horse,” a hidden agenda.

We can, we should, we must extol the power of combining these challenges and placing a path that provides “a” real solution to these (and, actually, other) very serious challenges before us.

Investing for a smart energy future would:

  • Strengthen the economic situation of the United States and the globe
  • Ameliorate and then answer the Peak Oil (and other energy/resource) challenges
  • Reduce the impact of the climate crisis on this and future generations
  • We saw tremendous movement in the Presidential campaign on energy issues, especially on the D side, with the candidates outbidding each other on better energy policy. President-Elect Obama has spoken strongly on climate issues and put forward a very progressive (read: realist and fact-based) team when it comes to energy and environmental policy.

    Within this movement and building on it, what follows is part of the concepts that should help guide us in the coming months and years, in words that might be fit for a weekly Presidential-elect video-log.

    Energize America bumpersticker

    A Siegel

    NYTimes Reminds: Renewables ain’t perfect

    by A Siegel  ::  Filed Under The Environment  ::  December 28th, 2008 @ 9:43 am EST

    Those ever so dedicated journalists have found yet another weakness inherent in renewable energy systems: if you want solar energy after a heavy snowstorm, be prepared to shovel some snow! In <a href=”http://www.nytimes.com/2008/12/26/business/26winter.html?_r=2″>S olar meets Polar</a>, Kate Galbraith lets readers know that winter can disrupt renewable energy systems. <blockquote>STOP THE PRESSES: Renewable energy has warts!</blockquote> To be fair, this is somewhat unfair.

    Galbraith’s article actually can make interesting (amusing?) reading (although nothing new to this reader) even while perpetuating inaccuracies. The challenge before us: when was there a <em>New York Times</em> article focusing on challenges faced by people seeking to use polluting power sources? Or, talking about how having a propane generator at home could risk an explosion or emissions that might create a health threat to your children? Or …?

     

    A Siegel

    Santa Bush’s last gifts to the nation …

    by A Siegel  ::  Filed Under Republicans  ::  December 18th, 2008 @ 7:13 am EST

    Santa George WPE Bush has had, we all agree, too long a run at ‘gifting’ the nation with disaster after disaster, bad policy after bad policy.

    And, on the eve of the holidays (Christmas, Hannukah, Kwanza, New Year’s, Obama’s Inauguration),

    Santa Bush is working to put coal into as many lumps into coal into our stockings, our rivers, our lungs, our lives as he can.

    “I’m dreaming of a polluted Christmas …”

    A Siegel

    Plugging in for a better tomorrow: the school bus ’solution’

    by A Siegel  ::  Filed Under Energy Policy, The Economy, The Environment  ::  December 16th, 2008 @ 11:41 am EST

    Hybrids are too often thought of simply in terms of personal vehicles.

    They are also penetrating the big vehicle market space. Consider the average delivery truck and all its starts/stops. There is a lot of energy to capture there, which is why UPS is pursuing hybrids. And, as per Walmart and its hybrid trucks, they are hitting the semi-trailer world. There are also efforts to apply hybrids to trash trucks and offer the opportunity to silence those squealing brakes at 5:45 am. Ann Arbor, Michigan, has started to get hybrid buses as is London. And, well, now they’re coming to a school system (maybe) near you.

    A Siegel

    Inhofe Plays while the Boxer’s Away

    by A Siegel  ::  Filed Under Global Warming  ::  December 13th, 2008 @ 10:53 pm EST

    It must be that time of year again. Just like last year, the Minority on the Senate Environment and Public Works (EPW) Commitee (read James Inhofe (R-Exxon)) has just released another “report” somehow proving that the globe isn’t warming or, if that fails, that humanity has nothing to do with the warming or, if that fails, that it really doesn’t matter or, if that fails, that we can’t do anything about it anyway.

    Let’s make some things clear, we should be outraged about this report. But, perversely, Inhofe and sidekick Marc Morano merit credit for using their positions of power quite effectively to do great damage to our abilities to move toward sensible policies that might actual provide a prosperous and secure future for Americans. Giving credit where credit is due is normally a pleasurable task. …

    [DIGG this story.]

    A Siegel

    Offering hope, fighting darkness, take action

    by A Siegel  ::  Filed Under Energy Policy  ::  September 24th, 2008 @ 11:30 am EST

    This Saturday, there is a nation-wide showdown between, quite literally, forces for light and forces for darkness.

    A Siegel

    Vote Grand Oil Party! Multi-layered deception coming to a street corner near you

    by A Siegel  ::  Filed Under Energy Policy, The Environment  ::  September 16th, 2008 @ 3:23 pm EST

    In my neck of the woods, the local Republicans are showing a real green thumb (actually, perhaps green hammer) as there are green sprouting all over. Green signs with a gas pump are appearing with the words “Drill Now! Pay Less! Vote GOP!”

    Now, other than the direct linkage of a gas pump and the Republican Party (the Grand Oil Party), it is hard to see any honesty in this poster. It is a continuation of the concerted Republican efforts to mislead and lie to the American people about critical energy issues. It is, in fact, impressive that this sign can be deceptive and simply dishonest on so many levels at the same time.

    [UPDATED from Taking Deception to Extremes: “Drill Now! Pay Less! Vote GOP!

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